Investing

This is the market-timer’s dilemma in real time – trying to outguess short-term moves instead of sticking with a long-term, risk-appropriate plan.   This week’s post dives into that very…

Unfortunately, crypto trades are just as good at spitting new investors out of the fold, and they typically lead to heavy losses when they do. That’s because crypto remains the…

Investing your money and time in 2025 is something that you should learn about and do with as much care as possible. Your money is earned with hard work and…

There are good ways and bad ways to diversify your portfolio. Yes, you shouldn’t put all your funds into one stock. But the types of other stocks you choose and…

While the past cannot guarantee future outcomes, it remains our most reliable resource for understanding market behavior. Previously, I outlined how Monte Carlo simulations can be used to estimate these…

Performance Dissected Check out the Performance page to see the full results. Please note that those results are based on real fills, not hypothetical performance, and exclude commissions, so your actual results…

1. Bitcoin (BTC) Bitcoin was the first ever cryptocurrency (established in 2009 by Satoshi Nakamoto) and it is currently the world’s most valuable. It is the coin most people think…

In this article, I’ll introduce Monte Carlo simulations, explain their relevance in trading, and describe a specific options trading strategy I’ve developed using these simulations. I’ll also share backtested results to illustrate…

As is always the case, though, there is some flipside to that risk. When they go well, crypto trades enjoy benefits including the potential for highly profitable market swings and…

Figure 1 TLRY iron fly on 13 September 2018 Options have infinite combinations but the classic hypothetical risk free trade is the credit spread with a wing width that is…